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Red254
167898.8
254106.1
50276.7
Blue116
97154.9
208567.8
64927.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21413550100250300350254116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
106.10.7
105.4106.1
Auto12.3
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 38.4
67.80.6
68.467.8
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
98.80.7
98.198.8
Auto11.2
Teleop87.7
End0.0
red by 43.9
971
#4
54.90.6
55.554.9
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Third
5027
#55
6.70.9
5.86.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 20.9
649
#29
27.60.6
28.227.6
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0