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Red178
84643.3
36865.3
50267.4
Blue67
11522.2
264338.7
214419.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1147205010015020017867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
65.31.1
63.864.9
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
red by 26.6
2643
#10
38.70.2
38.738.5
Auto0.9
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
846
#8
43.31.1
41.742.8
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 21.1
115
#32
22.20.2
22.222.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5026
#56
7.41.1
5.86.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2144
#23
19.90.2
20.019.7
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0