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Red169
97154.9
208567.8
64927.6
Blue122
128052.9
67042.2
76619.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15010650200250169122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.3
67.067.4
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 14.9
52.90.1
53.553.6
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
971
#4
54.90.3
54.254.5
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 12.7
670
#6
42.20.1
42.842.9
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
649
#29
27.60.3
26.927.3
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 8.0
766
#37
19.70.1
20.320.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0