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Red117
128052.9
67042.2
76619.7
Blue78
135129.5
58129.1
107220.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1206905010015020025011778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.0
53.453.4
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 23.4
1351
#13
29.50.0
29.629.6
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
670
#6
42.20.0
42.742.8
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 13.1
581
#9
29.10.0
29.229.2
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
766
#37
19.70.0
20.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
1072
#27
20.30.0
20.420.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0