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Red12
40473.1
166227.4
57605.5
Blue100
236711.4
25612.9
208567.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309505015020012100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1662
#31
27.41.5
28.927.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 40.4
67.80.6
65.165.6
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
Second
5760
#57DQ
5.52.0
7.45.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 7.5
256
#26
12.90.6
12.412.9
Auto1.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4047
#54
3.12.0
5.03.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2367
#36
11.40.6
10.911.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0