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Red43
57605.5
572817.3
425519.6
Blue64
203524.3
128052.9
549920.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23810501001502004364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
19.60.5
11.011.5
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 33.3
52.90.6
43.442.8
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
5728
#42
17.30.8
11.812.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2035
#30
24.30.6
22.221.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5760
#57DQ
5.50.8
10.611.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 14.9
5499
#20
20.40.9
9.78.8
Auto1.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0