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Red15
196719.2
214419.9
41716.3
Blue34
325625.6
517117.5
85219.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364901001502002503003504001534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2144
#23
19.91.3
15.614.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3256
#28
25.60.8
22.721.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1967
#39
19.21.3
16.715.4
Auto0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
852
#35
19.31.2
11.410.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
4171
#52
6.32.0
6.94.8
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 11.2
5171
#34
17.51.2
14.713.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0