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Red12
50267.4
415917.8
248925.4
Blue86
236711.4
97154.9
213521.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436601001502002501286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2489
#40
25.42.0
26.023.9
Auto0.7
Teleop24.7
End0.0
blue by 29.5
971
#4
54.91.2
36.737.9
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
Second
4159
#21
17.82.0
13.311.3
Auto1.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2135
#19
21.31.1
16.117.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
5026
#56
7.42.0
9.27.1
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2367
#36
11.41.2
11.813.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0