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Red52
348216.4
66821.8
8409.3
Blue8
281320.5
567717.9
40473.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28350100200300400500528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#14
21.81.6
12.313.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
2813
#22
20.51.5
20.318.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
3482
#15
16.41.6
12.113.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5677
#33
17.92.3
7.04.7
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
840
#41
9.31.6
5.67.2
Auto0.8
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 6.3
4047
#54
3.12.3
8.15.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.3
End0.0