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Red92
60421.7
208567.8
388018.9
Blue12
248925.4
66821.8
64927.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions985201502009212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.1
54.654.5
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 40.1
649
#29
27.62.4
23.220.7
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
604
#25
21.70.1
19.119.0
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 3.7
2489
#40
25.42.4
23.921.5
Auto0.7
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Third
3880
#38
18.90.1
20.520.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 2.9
668
#14
21.82.4
13.811.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0