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Red74
40473.1
236711.4
11522.2
Blue28
47659.4
811.3
214419.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373402060807428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#32
22.21.9
17.419.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 2.3
2144
#23
19.90.5
14.213.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
2367
#36
11.41.9
13.014.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 0.1
8
#53
11.30.5
10.710.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4047
#54
3.13.1
5.89.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4765
#51
9.40.8
12.211.5
Auto0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0