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Red192
66821.8
254106.1
418618.1
Blue153
135129.5
572817.3
128052.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10175050150200192153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
106.14.6
78.182.7
Auto12.3
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 53.3
52.93.6
48.251.8
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
Second
668
#14
21.84.6
11.415.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 7.7
1351
#13
29.53.6
22.125.7
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
4186
#24
18.17.6
11.118.7
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 0.8
5728
#42
17.35.9
11.517.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0