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Red23
425519.6
170017.9
85219.3
Blue0
75110.5
50267.4
11522.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43290206080100230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4255
#12
19.61.0
10.39.4
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 2.6
115
#32
22.21.3
19.318.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
852
#35
19.31.6
10.48.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 8.8
751
#47
10.51.3
7.66.3
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
1700
#43
17.91.0
21.420.5
Auto1.6
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 10.6
5026
#56
7.41.3
5.74.4
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0