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Red34
499012.0
549920.4
388018.9
Blue63
84643.3
76619.7
107220.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24830501001502003463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5499
#20
20.40.0
7.07.0
Auto1.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 22.9
846
#8
43.30.4
34.133.7
Auto0.8
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
3880
#38
18.90.0
20.420.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1072
#27
20.30.4
25.124.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
4990
#48
12.00.0
6.86.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 7.7
766
#37
19.70.4
17.617.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0