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Red33
60421.7
425519.6
40473.1
Blue22
11414.5
418618.1
196719.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275401001502002503003322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#25
21.70.0
17.617.6
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 2.4
1967
#39
19.21.5
16.715.2
Auto0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
4255
#12
19.60.0
9.49.4
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
4186
#24
18.12.5
18.716.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4047
#54
3.10.0
5.55.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop3.3
End0.0
blue by 11.5
114
#11
14.51.5
16.214.7
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0