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Red42
50267.4
66821.8
572817.3
Blue65
36865.3
47659.4
517117.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27870501001502004265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
#14
21.80.5
15.916.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 43.6
368
#5
65.30.8
53.552.7
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
Second
5728
#42
17.30.9
17.418.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5171
#34
17.51.3
16.515.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5026
#56
7.40.5
4.44.9
Auto0.7
Teleop6.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4765
#51
9.41.3
11.09.6
Auto0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0