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Red167
11414.5
97154.9
36865.3
Blue183
549920.4
214419.9
167898.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110109100120140160180167183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#5
65.32.6
55.758.4
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
blue by 33.5
98.83.5
87.691.1
Auto11.2
Teleop87.7
End0.0
Second
971
#4
54.92.6
44.947.5
Auto0.3
Teleop54.6
End0.0
red by 34.6
5499
#20
20.45.8
11.217.1
Auto1.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
114
#11
14.52.6
13.516.1
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2144
#23
19.93.5
13.917.4
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0