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Red52
60421.7
19243.6
236711.4
Blue66
186815.6
388018.9
135129.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7854020401001201401605266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#17
43.60.9
43.442.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.9
End0.0
red by 14.1
1351
#13
29.50.3
27.127.4
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Second
604
#25
21.70.9
19.818.9
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
3880
#38
18.90.3
22.322.6
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
2367
#36
11.40.9
13.612.6
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
1868
#18
15.60.3
10.410.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0