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Red72
107220.3
325625.6
128052.9
Blue78
348216.4
58129.1
11522.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions964801502007278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.91.0
50.049.0
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
red by 23.8
581
#9
29.11.0
25.126.1
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
3256
#28
25.61.0
18.117.1
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 3.4
115
#32
22.21.0
19.620.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
1072
#27
20.31.0
23.622.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 3.9
3482
#15
16.41.0
12.313.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0