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Red36
388018.9
517117.5
567717.9
Blue95
499012.0
67042.2
285413.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544502060801001203695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#38
18.90.9
22.621.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 23.3
670
#6
42.22.4
33.135.4
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
5677
#33
17.91.4
11.39.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 4.7
2854
#46
13.13.7
6.810.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5171
#34
17.51.4
20.619.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 5.5
4990
#48
12.02.4
8.110.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop12.6
End0.0