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Red171
58129.1
254106.1
573719.9
Blue112
214419.9
66821.8
19243.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14465050100200250300171112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
106.11.7
96.498.1
Auto12.3
Teleop93.8
End0.0
red by 62.5
192
#17
43.61.6
42.243.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.9
End0.0
Second
581
#9
29.11.7
26.127.9
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
668
#14
21.81.6
18.720.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
5737
#16
19.92.5
13.816.3
Auto0.7
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Level
2144
#23
19.91.6
18.520.1
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0