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Red94
325625.6
25612.9
186815.6
Blue131
85219.3
67042.2
570013.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3459010015020094131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#28
25.62.7
17.119.8
Auto0.3
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 16.6
670
#6
42.23.7
35.439.1
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
1868
#18
15.62.7
12.315.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 3.7
852
#35
19.35.3
10.315.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.9
End0.0
Third
256
#26
12.92.7
9.612.4
Auto1.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5700
#44
13.85.3
11.617.0
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0