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Red52
572817.3
107220.3
567717.9
Blue93
264338.7
76619.7
60421.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40800501001505293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#27
20.30.2
22.622.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 18.4
2643
#10
38.70.8
37.538.3
Auto0.9
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
5677
#33
17.90.3
9.810.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
604
#25
21.70.8
19.520.3
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
5728
#42
17.30.3
15.215.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.3
766
#37
19.70.8
19.520.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.2
End0.0