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Red20
418618.1
236711.4
517117.5
Blue66
281320.5
203524.3
64927.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457401001502002502066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#24
18.12.3
19.817.5
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 9.5
649
#29
27.60.3
25.124.8
Auto0.8
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5171
#34
17.52.3
19.216.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
2035
#30
24.30.3
24.624.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
2367
#36
11.41.6
12.410.9
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 9.1
2813
#22
20.50.3
22.121.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0