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Red122
135129.5
75110.5
208567.8
Blue114
549920.4
36865.3
41716.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10367050150200122114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.0
64.065.1
Auto0.4
Teleop67.4
End0.0
red by 2.4
368
#5
65.32.0
58.260.1
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
Second
1351
#13
29.51.0
27.228.2
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 9.2
5499
#20
20.42.8
16.619.5
Auto1.7
Teleop18.6
End0.0
Third
751
#47
10.51.0
10.111.1
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 4.2
4171
#52
6.32.8
0.12.9
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.0