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Red104
135129.5
60421.7
58129.1
Blue82
425519.6
264338.7
517117.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7471405060809010011010482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
#13
29.51.4
28.229.6
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 9.2
2643
#10
38.70.4
38.338.7
Auto0.9
Teleop37.8
End0.0
Second
581
#9
29.11.4
27.929.2
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 9.5
4255
#12
19.60.4
18.719.1
Auto0.9
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
604
#25
21.71.4
20.321.7
Auto0.7
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 4.2
5171
#34
17.50.5
16.917.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop17.8
End0.0