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Red124
41716.3
11522.2
128052.9
Blue190
213521.3
36865.3
67042.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621220100150200250124190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.92.5
50.953.4
Auto0.5
Teleop52.4
End0.0
blue by 12.5
368
#5
65.33.7
60.163.8
Auto5.3
Teleop60.1
End0.0
Second
115
#32
22.22.5
19.722.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 20.0
670
#6
42.23.7
39.142.7
Auto1.1
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
4171
#52
6.33.4
2.96.3
Auto0.8
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 15.0
2135
#19
21.33.7
17.621.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0