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Red54
415917.8
811.3
203524.3
Blue66
66821.8
11414.5
510413.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534302060801001205466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2035
#30
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 2.5
668
#14
21.81.0
20.321.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Second
4159
#21
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto1.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.3
114
#11
14.51.0
13.514.5
Auto0.4
Teleop14.1
End0.0
Third
8
#53
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5104
#45
13.11.0
12.113.1
Auto0.5
Teleop12.7
End0.0