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Red52
151524.0
513724.4
20725.8
Blue33
567811.7
115912.2
419.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5519040801001201401605233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207
#22
25.80.0
20.920.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
red by 6.2
4
#25
19.60.5
5.86.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Second
5137
#21
24.40.0
8.18.2
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 12.3
1159
#39
12.20.7
10.911.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
1515
#13
24.00.0
22.422.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 12.3
5678
#38
11.712.1
21.39.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.4
End0.0