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Red117
312015.9
33074.6
98016.7
Blue88
351244.4
420153.4
59921.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787020406010012014011788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#1
74.62.5
53.656.1
Auto7.2
Teleop67.5
End0.0
red by 21.2
53.40.9
39.039.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Second
980
#32
16.72.5
16.619.1
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 27.7
44.40.9
22.123.1
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
Third
3120
#24
15.92.3
9.211.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 5.9
599
#18
21.80.9
12.913.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0