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Red123
420153.4
513724.4
126627.9
Blue42
461918.6
20725.8
59921.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695002040608010012014016012342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.43.0
42.145.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
red by 27.6
207
#22
25.80.7
21.020.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop25.9
End0.0
Second
27.94.6
18.623.1
Auto0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 6.1
599
#18
21.80.7
15.815.1
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Third
5137
#21
24.44.6
7.612.2
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 5.8
4619
#33
18.60.7
18.017.3
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0