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Red20
49643.0
312015.9
399311.3
Blue62
242922.9
302721.5
350125.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1945060801001201401602062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3120
#24
15.90.1
10.911.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3501
#11
25.51.0
23.824.8
Auto1.3
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
3993
#40
11.30.2
7.47.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 11.6
2429
#17
22.91.0
13.214.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4964
#41
3.00.2
5.05.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 18.5
3027
#15
21.51.7
5.06.7
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End0.0