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Red64
351244.4
138827.9
392520.4
Blue40
151524.0
397032.5
395320.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605740507080906440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.1
27.127.2
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 12.0
3970
#19
32.51.0
29.828.8
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
27.90.1
20.620.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 3.9
1515
#13
24.01.1
21.620.5
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
3925
#16
20.40.1
13.914.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 0.1
3953
#23
20.51.6
7.96.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0