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Red20
386318.0
513724.4
567811.7
Blue52
392520.4
39938.6
350125.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27770501001502002052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5137
#21
24.40.8
13.012.2
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 14.1
399
#6
38.61.0
32.831.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3863
#28
18.00.5
16.215.7
Auto1.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 7.4
3501
#11
25.51.0
23.722.7
Auto1.3
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Third
5678
#38
11.70.8
6.75.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.4
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3925
#16
20.41.0
15.214.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.4
End0.0