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Red43
58923.3
242922.9
312015.9
Blue93
351244.4
98016.7
471123.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427101001502004393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#12
23.30.3
19.719.5
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 21.1
44.41.2
29.530.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
Second
2429
#17
22.90.3
16.416.2
Auto0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4711
#20
23.71.2
21.923.1
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
3120
#24
15.90.3
12.412.1
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
980
#32
16.71.2
17.718.9
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0