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Red69
397032.5
399311.3
392520.4
Blue52
312015.9
98122.9
39938.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466001001502006952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#19
32.51.0
27.328.3
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
399
#6
38.60.4
28.728.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3925
#16
20.41.0
16.417.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 2.5
981
#14
22.90.7
18.517.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
3993
#40
11.31.5
5.97.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 4.5
3120
#24
15.90.4
13.212.7
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0