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Red88
175917.5
351244.4
441321.4
Blue95
151524.0
420153.4
58923.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518801001502002508895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.5
31.833.3
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
blue by 9.0
53.40.5
43.844.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Second
4413
#27
21.41.5
19.420.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1515
#13
24.00.5
22.122.6
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
1759
#30
17.52.3
7.29.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 5.8
589
#12
23.30.5
19.720.2
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0