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Red28
69641.2
233917.7
98016.7
Blue61
461918.6
126627.9
513616.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67540204060801001201402861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#5
41.22.0
34.732.7
Auto4.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 13.3
27.90.3
23.824.0
Auto0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
2339
#26
17.73.1
15.412.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4619
#33
18.60.2
19.820.0
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
980
#32
16.72.0
17.715.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
5136
#29
16.00.2
14.114.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0