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Red16
138827.9
175917.5
399311.3
Blue44
132316.0
49643.0
276118.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302060801001644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.7
20.318.7
Auto0.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 9.1
2761
#35
18.80.5
13.714.2
Auto0.5
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
1759
#30
17.52.1
9.57.4
Auto0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 1.4
1323
#37
16.00.5
19.720.2
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
3993
#40
11.32.1
11.69.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 8.4
4964
#41
3.00.6
2.32.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop3.4
End0.0