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Red26
386318.0
58923.3
395320.5
Blue64
98122.9
145831.1
461918.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374901001502002503003502664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#12
23.31.0
18.817.9
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 7.8
31.10.9
21.222.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
3953
#23
20.51.2
10.08.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 2.4
981
#14
22.91.2
10.812.0
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
3863
#28
18.01.0
11.810.8
Auto1.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4619
#33
18.61.0
17.218.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0