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Red46
552913.6
513616.0
397032.5
Blue64
69641.2
427619.3
471123.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467001001502004664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#19
32.50.3
30.329.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 8.7
696
#5
41.20.1
23.924.0
Auto4.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
5136
#29
16.00.3
11.511.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4711
#20
23.70.1
23.223.3
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
5529
#31
13.60.3
9.69.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 5.7
4276
#36
19.30.1
21.421.5
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0