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Red71
138827.9
302721.5
427619.3
Blue84
171745.1
69120.0
145831.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578101001502007184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
25.225.6
Auto0.2
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 17.2
45.10.2
38.238.3
Auto4.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Second
3027
#15
21.50.6
16.917.5
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 9.6
31.10.2
28.728.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
4276
#36
19.30.4
20.921.3
Auto0.5
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 0.6
691
#34
20.00.2
13.413.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0