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Red94
350125.5
552913.6
351244.4
Blue110
419.6
132316.0
69641.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6556020408010012094110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.41.4
33.334.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
696
#5
41.22.5
32.735.2
Auto4.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
3501
#11
25.51.4
22.924.3
Auto1.3
Teleop24.2
End0.0
red by 5.9
4
#25
19.62.5
11.113.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5529
#31
13.61.4
9.510.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1323
#37
16.02.5
15.518.0
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0