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Red26
397032.5
312015.9
461918.6
Blue76
513724.4
183633.5
175917.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612040801001202676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#19
32.51.6
30.929.3
Auto0.7
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1836
#10
33.50.6
29.730.2
Auto0.1
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Second
4619
#33
18.61.6
20.919.4
Auto0.2
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 5.8
5137
#21
24.40.7
19.320.0
Auto1.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
3120
#24
15.91.6
17.415.8
Auto0.5
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 1.6
1759
#30
17.50.7
15.616.3
Auto0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0