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Red100
59921.8
302721.5
171745.1
Blue48
58923.3
471123.7
132316.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8356010015020010048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.2
42.243.4
Auto4.8
Teleop40.4
End0.0
red by 21.4
4711
#20
23.70.7
22.922.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Second
599
#18
21.81.2
19.620.8
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 1.5
589
#12
23.30.7
23.222.5
Auto0.5
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
3027
#15
21.51.5
20.121.6
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 5.4
1323
#37
16.00.7
16.615.8
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0