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Red132
69120.0
419.6
39938.6
Blue121
420153.4
471123.7
395320.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52920150200250132121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#6
38.63.6
31.334.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop38.6
End0.0
blue by 14.9
53.41.6
48.550.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.5
End0.0
Second
691
#34
20.03.6
16.420.0
Auto0.4
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 3.8
4711
#20
23.71.6
22.223.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4
#25
19.63.6
12.315.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3953
#23
20.51.8
18.820.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0