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Red41
386318.0
302721.5
132316.0
Blue53
441321.4
392520.4
115912.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545130406070804153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3027
#15
21.50.1
21.621.5
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
4413
#27
21.40.3
21.121.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
3863
#28
18.00.1
17.817.7
Auto1.6
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3925
#16
20.40.3
20.420.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
1323
#37
16.00.1
15.815.7
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.9
1159
#39
12.20.3
11.812.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0