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Red79
59921.8
98016.7
98122.9
Blue71
151524.0
69641.2
552913.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527701001502002507971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
981
#14
22.91.2
21.722.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 18.3
696
#5
41.20.3
38.037.7
Auto4.7
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
599
#18
21.81.0
20.821.9
Auto1.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
1515
#13
24.00.3
24.424.2
Auto0.2
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
980
#32
16.71.0
15.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 3.1
5529
#31
13.60.3
13.913.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0