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Red210
68723.2
347691.8
198376.3
Blue228
50269.9
97195.6
1678100.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1641790100200300400210228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.81.9
80.282.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop92.8
End0.0
blue by 9.1
100.92.3
96.298.5
Auto12.6
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
76.31.9
72.073.8
Auto0.8
Teleop75.5
End0.0
blue by 19.3
971
#4
95.62.3
80.082.2
Auto2.7
Teleop93.0
End0.0
Third
687
#15
23.21.9
20.622.5
Auto0.9
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 13.3
5026
#20
9.92.3
6.68.9
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0