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Red200
501216.0
254125.7
60427.8
Blue100
69631.1
84126.0
97376.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15611950100200200100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
125.72.2
120.5122.7
Auto16.2
Teleop109.6
End0.0
red by 49.1
973
#6
76.71.5
72.871.3
Auto0.2
Teleop76.5
End0.0
Second
604
#18
27.82.2
22.724.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
696
#25
31.11.5
33.832.4
Auto2.5
Teleop28.5
End0.0
Third
5012
#22
16.02.2
12.915.1
Auto2.8
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 10.0
841
#17
26.01.5
22.821.3
Auto0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0